U.S. Budget Deficit Sparks Economic Concerns and Market Implications
Citigroup’s U.S. equity strategist Scott Chronert warns that the growing budget deficit could reshape economic and market dynamics. The recent House bill, rather than curbing the shortfall, may add $600 billion to the deficit by 2025. Treasury issuances and higher interest rates loom as likely outcomes, potentially stimulating economic activity while pressuring stock valuations.
New tariffs could offset some deficit growth, contributing an estimated $200 billion and maintaining the current $2 trillion threshold. The interplay between fiscal policy and market reactions remains a critical watchpoint for investors navigating this uncertain terrain.